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Blowing in the Wind: A Time Series Analysis of Mean UK Summer Temperature

Abstract:
Time series analysis is applied to the mean UK summer temperatures provided by the UK MET Office. First, the statistical significance of the data is determined by comparing with the mean and standard deviation of the whole time series and using the Wald Wolfowitz Runs Test. On this basis, only the rising trend in the last decade or so (> 2009) is possibly significant.